Event-Driven Trading
The Importance of News
· Exchange rate fluctuations are highly correlated with news.
· News that is unexpected tends to have a major impact on the market.
The most important aspect of interpreting news and its impact on the foreign exchange markets is the determination of the market’s expectations for that news. In the financial world, this is commonly referred to as the “market discount mechanism”. The correlation between currency markets and news is pretty clear. Expected news has little impact on exchange rates while unexpected news, especially when pertaining to potential changes in monetary policy, may have an immense impact. Short-term traders need to closely monitor financial publications like The Financial Times and The Wall Street Journal, as they are excellent gauges of current sentiment towards potential news events. Being aware of events and expectations allows traders to be fully prepared for, and profit from, the discounting of potential market moving events.
Event-Driven Trading
· It is difficult to determine the effect of news on currency movements.
· Traders need to avoid analyst bias and take special care when trading during economic releases
Event-driven trading is a fundamental based methodology that attempts to exploit the volatility associated with economic releases and political announcements. Often times it is quite difficult to determine the effect of news on currency movements, and because of this traders need to avoid biased analysis and adopt a defensive posture during these events. Generally, as fundamental news becomes available, the market as a whole will assimilate the news and move the exchange rates to more appropriate levels as market perceptions adjust accordingly. The event driven trader seeks to profit from this ensuing shift in price. Timing of event driven trades is obviously a key factor to success as positions entered prematurely or belatedly can have significant adverse impacts on P&L. For this reason, profitable event-driven traders usually incorporate some form of technical analysis that helps to validate the merit of the fundamental catalyst.
A Common Error
· News releases can lead to sharp volatility in FX, but this volatility can begin well in advance of the actual announcement.
· Much of this volatility occurs in the days leading up to the announcement.
Economic releases can lead to sharp increases in volatility in the currency markets. This rise in volatility can begin days in advance of an announcement and end days later. The most common mistake made by most novice traders is to enter positions after a particular announcement hits the new wires in an attempt to profit from the perceived good or bad news. What they fail to realize is that if an economic release meets expectations, there will likely be no reaction to the news because it is already ‘priced in’ to the market. The reaction of the market is based on the market’s expectations, not on whether the news was intrinsically good or bad.
Buy the Rumor, Sell the News
· Rather than trade on the announcement itself, some participants prefer to trade on the rumors that circulate before its release.
Bank dealers and institutional traders often adhere to the old Wall Street adage of “buy the rumor, sell the newsâ€. Rumors of a positive report will typically begin to circulate among trading desks and hedge funds days before an expected release date. The institutions will then use this information to position themselves on the long side. When the news comes out as expected, they then sell their positions to a frantic public, profiting from the run-up to the announcement as opposed to guessing the reaction to it.
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Understanding Currency Trading Dynamics
Most books and courses on the subject of currency trading say that it is normal for beginners to lose money at first. Some even go as far as to say that it is normal to have a losing streak that lasts several months! This philosophy stems from the rationale that after losing significant amount of money, you will have more experience and knowledge in your future trading endeavors. If you went by their standards, how much of your hard earned money will be left in a few months? This type of attitude sets you up to fail. Why enter a battle if you are destined to lose?
The only purpose for such advice is for currency and futures brokers and dealers to make money on the spreads and commissions that you will pay to them. More often you trade, more profits for your broker or dealer. Day trading in its purest form may have worked in the late 90`s for traders who were trading volatile high tech stocks. Some traders also called “Scalpers” were getting in and out of positions in matters of minutes, even seconds and were making their profits on small differences between bid and ask price. However, those days are now gone.
In currency trading, if you are planning to scalp, or if you are planning to jump in and out of positions all day long you will not last long. I can guarantee you that. Also if you plan to purchase an X amount of Euros, GBP, or Swiss Francs and just forget about them in a “buy and hold” fashion most likely you won`t get anywhere. Currencies do not behave in the same fashion as stocks or stock market indexes. Well, if you should not day trade and you should not buy and hold, what should you do? The best approach to currency trading is called swing trading or short term trading where you hold your positions for periods anywhere from few days to few weeks, and very rarely for a few months.
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What Influences Currency Prices?
In equity markets it is relatively easy to understand what influences stock prices. If the sector that stock of our choice belongs to is doing well, if earnings are meeting the expectations, our stock will generally do well. In currency markets on the other hand there are many more aspects that have the impact -if there is a labor strike in France, if a bomb explodes in the middle East, if ECB reduces interest rates, if the weather in South America is bad, anyways there are so many factors that influence currecncy rates that it is not possible for an individual trader to keep track of all of them, you would go crazy. Therefore you have adapt the credo “Anything can happen at any time and I will have to adjust accordingly.”
What we need is the ability to predict the price over the next few days/weeks. You have probably noticed how sometimes even the best news can not lift the dollar and the slightest hint of a bad news puts it into a nosedive and vice verca….In those situations you need to know where the sentiment is and economic funamentals have very little importance.
Problem that most would be traders encouter is a lack of appropriate literature. Real world is inhabited with real people. And real people make unexpected decisions. Welcome to the world of currency trading
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Currency Trading
Currency trading is for real, but how many of you took advantage of it? I’d guess the answer is not many. I can understand that, change is difficult. Trying to get your hands around something new is challenging some times. But, for those of you who are playing in currency, how’s your track record? I might venture a guess, not as well as you’d like.
Although the currency markets move some 100 “pips” a day (the smallest increment of change) it’s often hard to pick the right direction for short term trading. If you are really good at it, there are positives. The trends tend to stay in place longer, the technical’s tend to give true readings. Although there are no market makers to jack you around, there are however silly things that can go on with spreads.
But still it’s trading and trades can go against you. Now, on the other hand, what would have happened if you stepped back from day to day scalping and looked at the overall big picture? Remember we predicted that the dollar would fall, and quite a ways? Where would you be if instead of trying to chip away for 8 pips a day, you’d have held the Euro long for the last month? You’d be rich, literally.
What’s my point? Just this, the forex market is very easy to get into. You can open a ‘mini” account for just 500 dollars. Even if all you did was buy one “lot” a month ago, you could have enjoyed a tremendous return. Think of it like this. If you buy a thousand shares of XYZ and it falls just a dollar, you are out a grand. This is common and no one thinks twice about it, you all know that indeed you will take losses. But yet taking 500 dollars and making a “macro” bet on currencies seems too dangerous to people. See my point?
I’m not preaching that you should al turn into rabid currency traders. But, when the macro trends are as clear as they have been lately, missing the opportunity to make a major score on a tiny investment, just doesn’t make sense. Consider currency trading folks, I didn’t talk about it to show how bright we are, I did it because I knew there was opportunity there. I just hope a lot of you took advantage of it!
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All the Truth Around E Currency Exchange Trading
You keep on listening about this profit pulling business that requires no marketing or selling, merely an hour a day (at the most) and no special skill.
Yeah right!
At least that’s the 1st perspective it gives any person that has been in the internet for some time.
But Let’s get more into detail about E Currency Exchange.
How about being able to provide the flow of capital for “Internet Money” thus it may be applied as a backup or “real cash”?
You can generate as much as 1.5% to 4% in daily interests for you investment for suppling E-Currency Exchange. My interest peaked. Anybody can yield coumponded interest for a starting investment starting from 50 dollars.
Based on your personal story, it could be a little hard to believe that You and I can start with $50 and turn them into $400 in as little as 45 days. I’m 21 years old and it isn’t something I’m used to hearing. You’re really setting up your cashflow to function. I can now say it happens. And it requires no special skill. After all, your cash is the one doing all the hard work.
There is a tough part, of course. It’s a somewhat complex business to know at first. In fact it can become overwhelming in case you don’t perfectly know what in God’s name you’re doing. Start an account here, a second one there, find some stuff here purchase some stuff there. You could go kookie tackling how to learn it by yourself.
I was lucky enough to get it the easygoing way. If anyone guides you bit by bit, with a visual simulacrum of how he manipulates the system Every-Step-Of-the-Way then it becomes much easier,
“do this, Start this account, and then Open up this other account, put your money here, move it here, and watch how it boosts”
After anyone guides you by the hand like that and prepares you, it just becomes very simple. What is required is that you view the first video, then follow the instructions. Watch the next one, then do what you just saw. Watch the next video and… well you get the point.
An amazing detail about E-Currencies is that every person on the planet doing this system does the same thing to generate an income. We all do the same thing, so it’s something reproducible. If you’re headed at this direction, if you’re interested in learning just about everything on E Currency, I have to advice you invest in the shortest path and learn the proven formula instead of tackling to figuring out without any help.
Educate yourself, read as much as you can about it, if you can afford it, buy a course, if not, read in investment forums and learn this system from the people that are already making money from it.
I’ve writen detailed reviews for the best courses about e-currencies, visit my site (http://www.currencytrading-center.com) for the inside scoop on how to Invest in DXInone
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Categories: Currency Trading Tags:
Forex Trading – Understand Your Principles
Forex trading has been growing rapidly among day traders since the 1990s, as day traders have seen the advantages that trading currencies can have over trading stocks. However, since there are fewer currencies for beginners to purchase over the large number of stocks available, forex trading can be much more difficult for a newcomer to learn and master. Still, there are some basic principles that someone new to forex trading should learn, and these concepts may even be helpful to the experienced trader.
The first principle of forex trading is to understand that trading is an investment, not an income. If you are looking to constantly boom in forex trading, then you may need to do a reassessment. forex trading, like other forms of trading, allows you to make a good return on your initial capital annually. However, during that year you need to expect some ups and downs in your forex trading. You could even have several months where you have consecutive losses. It is probably in your best interest to have another source of income while you do forex trading.
Another area where beginners sometimes find themselves frustrated is that they try to predict the forex trading markets. Thousands of traders have influence over the forex trading markets, along with politics and economic events, so there is no way to predict which way the market will move. There are some types of analysis that may provide an educated guess into market flow when doing forex trading, but they are not always reliable. Do not be discouraged, though, by the fact that you may lose on more trades that you gain on, as using sound money management can help you be successful with forex trading.
Making money from forex trading means that you need to make enough to cover your losses and gain profit to increase capital. When forex trading, you will need to allow your money-making trades ride while knowing when to cut your losses as soon as possible. forex trading means learning some finesse, as there can be a fine line where you will want to wait a little for the market to turn in your favor on your losing trades and also making sure you do not take your profit to soon on your better trades.
One way to handle your forex trading is to use a tested system and a money management strategy. There is no room for emotion when forex trading, so you will need to use a business-like approach that has been tested on market data. Using a tested approach will save you a lot of stress when forex trading. Also, using a sound money management strategy will allow you to use your capital in the best way when forex trading so that you can maximize profit and avoid major losses.
Read the rest of the article here: Forex Trading.
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Cash In On The Booming Demand For Futures Trading – Understanding Good Habits
Socrates said that we are what we repeatedly do. Excellence, then, is a habit. Without realizing it, most people fall into patterns of behaviour that quickly turns into habits. Everyone knows how hard it is to break a bad habit, so it`s worth you while to learn good commodity and futures trading habits, and to stick to them.
But, most people don`t really know their own habits, even though everyone has behaviour patterns that make them unique. The fact that you engage in these activities without consciously thinking about them is what makes them habits. By analyzing your habits and behaviours, you can greatly improve your commodity and futures trading abilities. Successful traders learn to recognize the behavioural patterns that cause them to be unfocused or undisciplined.
Some poor commodity and futures trading behaviors are due to emotional reactions, but others are simply the result of bad habits. Your goal is to make your commodity and futures trading systematic, logical and habitual. Successful traders also learn from experience and from their mistakes, and analyze what behaviours work, and which ones don`t work. By eliminating behaviours that cause mistakes, they maximize their winning trades and minimize the number of, and the effect of, their losing trades.
Once you have begun to pay close attention to your commodity and futures trading behaviours, you will quickly see where you need improvement. It is important to take responsibility for your trades, and analyze what mistakes you might have made. Don`t give into temptation and blame the market; there is no way to learn and grow from that point of view. Look to yourself for answers and accountability.
It always makes sense to learn from your mistakes. If you can identify the conditions that may have caused a mistake, you may be able to keep it from happening in the future. No one is perfect, and things in their personal or professional lives at one time or another have affected all traders. You may have been distracted due to outside events, or have gotten emotional because of a particularly successful trade. If you can recognize these types of patterns before they affect your commodity and futures trading, you can stay focused and disciplined.
Following your commodity and futures trading plan should become a habit. Always avoid spontaneous trades. By looking closely at the market to determine the current trends, a successful trader prepares the appropriate strategy for the following day, and with his commodity and futures trading plan in hand, is less likely to be influenced by emotion.
Take the time to create routines and structures around your commodity and futures trading. Keeping good records, logging your trades, consistently analyzing market indicators, and staying focused on your short term goals will help you stay on track. Also, consider setting small goals for each day. Make sure the goals are measurable and attainable. The goals will give you momentum, and increase your confidence.
Recognize that sometimes you need to change your system. If your commodity and futures trading style is not suited to short term market conditions; adapt quickly, and if necessary, don`t trade. Always look for errors you have made, and analyze them to determine a better course of action to take the next time. By being aware of your actions, and working to improve your trades, you will find the set of behaviours that will make success a habit for you.
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Do You Have A Back Up Plan?
I know a woman in her sixties. She worked for a company for a little more than a decade as an administration and office assistant for a staff of one hundred sales people, who loved her dearly. She always made sure all the faxes got to their desks; the stationery stock was full and each staff member had what he needed.
Beyond her job description, she was like a mother to all of them: making sure the toilets got cleaned, old food was removed from the fridge and decorating the entire floor which the department occupied. She worked hard and never complained. She was always smiling, friendly and polite.
She felt good about being a ‘mother’ to all the people who entered and left that department. She was comfortable with her position. No-one else could do the things she did. And she did them better than anyone else in the building.
One day, she went to work as usual. After doing her morning chores, she was invited to the office, where she was told her services were no longer needed. The company was undergoing certain cost-cutting measures in every department and unfortunately, her role would have to be sacrificed. She was then asked to leave the building as soon as possible. She was assured, however, that before having made the decision, every attempt had been made to find a position for her somewhere within the company.
She has financial obligations to fulfil and she still hasn’t saved enough for her retirement. She still has credit to pay off and she was saving for a trip overseas, something she never got around to doing in her younger years. She wanted to save up to establish a book-selling business. Suddenly, she would have to re-evaluate her plans. Losing a job and nearing retirement age, she will have to relinquish some of the things she had dreamt for herself.
I am sure you have heard hundreds of similar stories like these. Just five months before writing this article, I had already read about companies cutting costs by laying off jobs. Their main reason is to remain competitive, so they would not have to raise the prices they charge to their customers. Companies are outsourcing jobs overseas because the labour costs in other countries are relatively cheap compared to the local currency and sometimes because of significant skills or technological advantages. Other businesses lessen staff when sales drop and they can no longer sustain to pay the same number of people they have on their payroll. No organisation – not even a big, established business – is immune from the need to become leaner in an ever-increasingly competitive market environment.
In the past, most people believed the companies or the governments – whom they work for – could guarantee them a job for life. Nowadays, I think more and more people are becoming increasingly aware that expecting to have a job-for-life is unrealistic. It is a dire predicament to be working everyday, taking care of someone else’s business and realising that at the end of one’s career, years of service do not guarantee one’s well-being. Because of this, I believe that people are now looking to improve their chances of having enough funds to meet their needs and wants after retirement.
I think there is a dawning awareness that the ultimate responsibility for one’s own well-being lies within each individual. People are beginning to understand that their boss or the company they work for does not have an obligation nor the ability to ensure that they are taken care of when they finish working for them.
According to an article written by John Roskam*, based on a forthcoming Institute of Public Affairs (IPA) Backgrounder on self-employment and the self-reliant society, the trend to self-employment will speed up in coming decades. Five reasons explain this change:
1. Our societies will continue to develop knowledge-intensive and service industries.
2. Jobs of the future need more education; however, better educated workers might opt to work for themselves instead.
3. Older workers are more comfortable with being self-employed than the younger workers, which might indicate individuals would prefer to work for themselves as they grow older.
4. Individuals want more control and flexibility over their working arrangements and self-employment allows for this.
5. Individuals are more willing to assume responsibility for the decisions that affect their lives and their families.
In addition to this trend, more and more people are now seeking to gain greater control over their financial assets.
What we can all learn from this article is the idea that we do not have to rely on our employers to be there for us when we desperately need them to pay us our periodic paycheques at the end of our working days. There are alternatives and, while we still can, I believe we owe it to ourselves and our families to have a back-up plan and look at every single opportunity available. The question for you is this: Do you have a back-up plan?
————
Footnotes:
* “Self-Reliance and the Self-Employment Revolution†http://www.ipa.org.au/files/news_953.html (21st March 2005).
Article Source: http://www.articledashboard.com
About The Author:
Marquez Comelab is the author of the book: The Part-Time Currency Trader. He believes that trading and investing are skills people should learn while they are still young so when they grow old, they do not have to rely too much on their pension. See: marquezcomelab.com.
Ecuador – Guayaquil Calling Cards
Categories: Currency Trading Tags:
Forex Trading Tips – Part 1
The retail forex markets are certainly in a boom time. Forex dealers are popping up like rabbits. Hundreds of thousands of people like you and me are trading the markets for a nice profit everyday. Brokers are making a killing from their spreads in these deals. Forex markets are volatile and hence present great profit opportunities as well as great risks to your capital. And if you aren’t careful your capital will quickly be lost by the markets. So what is the key? What is the secret to trading the forex markets successfully? We look at some forex trading tips in the following series of reports.
Some of the facts and measures we go through may be simple to some but may be new concepts altogether for other people. All in all every piece of information is critical to your understanding and succeeding in the forex markets, and hopefully our articles about forex trading tips will help you on your way.
When you trade currencies you are trading currency pairs. You always trade a currency in reference to another. Therefore, when you are looking to trade currencies, make sure you are aware which currency pair you are looking at trading with and understand how both currencies impact on one another.
Understand the bigger picture. Understand how the foreign exchange markets are influenced, and what makes them move. The forex market movements are different to stock markets in their leverage and in their volatility and nature. They are open 24 hours and because they are global, are easily influenced by news and data releases at any time of day. Any news affecting any country’s economic progress or anything about interest rates are bound to have some effect on the forex markets in their relevant currency pairs.
Be ambitious yet humble. Your trading goals need to be reasonable, not too greedy, but not too small. Some traders aim to profit from small moves – placing tight orders to take their small profits. But think about it – is this sustainable? Is your risk/return ratio worth the effort? Remember that you have to wait until the price clears the spread your dealer placed on the currency pair. If your trading system it aiming small, it would mean, more trades and more chance the trade will go sour, since a large portion (the spread) of your trade will be going to to your dealer’s pockets and you aren’t allowing for much movement before you take your profits (or loss). If you are new, this concept may be a little confusing, but for those of you in the know – you should definitely have a think about it if you haven’t already considered it.
That’s enough forex trading tips for now, come back for the next part soon.
Article Source: http://www.articledashboard.com
George Polizogopoulos is a staff writer for ForexTradingHQ.com, the information hub for forex (foreign exchange) traders. More information about learning forex is available on our forex trading website.
This article “Forex Trading Tips – Part 1″ can be found in our Foreign Exchange (FX) Markets category.
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Ecuador – CELL Calling Cards
Categories: Currency Trading Tags:
E-gold Invest: Make Money With Currency Trading
Many people are already starting to pay attention to the newest online trend: E-gold investing.
E-gold investing is a all about a system that allows you to profit from the money that is being traded everyday on the internet. What you’re doing when you are trading e-gold (or e-currencies) is that you are providing the backup for internet money. Let me go back a bit. What exactly do I mean by “backup for internet money”?
There is a cashflow of all of the money that is being moved throughout the internet every day. However, this money has to have, for every dollar that is being backed up, a physical backup of that dollar must exist.
This is a very superficial explanation about how the dxgold system works, but to be honest, to profit from it, you don’t have to understand exactly how it works to profit from it. If I were to put the e-gold training courses into a metaphor I would say it’s very much like driving a car. You don’t need to know how it works in order to use it properly.
What you do need to know is the egold exchange process and every step of the way. This may sound complex, but once you get to know it, it becomes a daily routine that takes about five minutes just to check up on.
Investing in e-gold is something that I could describe as a great investing strategy, if you are investing in the long run.
It isn’t as fast as a rising stock in wall street, it isn’t something that will double your profits in a couple of days, but it is something you can expect to generate a good income from. And the important keyword in that past sentence would be to Expect, because this is a safe long term strategy that is guaranteed to make a profit for you.
This is why I personally think it is plain silly not to learn this currency trading system. You even know how much money you will make each day in advance.
For some it may be tough, but saving a couple of hundred dollars and investing in e-gold can be a very wise decision. As many people have experienced already, it can even turn into a “hands off” second income without the 8 to 5 job.
E-gold is all about discipline. Is about the discipline of having your money work for you and letting it grow, without getting an urge of a shopping spree and taking your money out of your account.
If you think you can wait for a few months and are interested in getting a second income, then the e-gold system could be a good fit for you.
I’ve writen detailed reviews for the best courses about e-currency exchange, visit my site (http://www.currencytrading-center.com) for the inside scoop on how to Invest in e-gold
Dominican Rep. – CELL Calling Cards
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